What do we think? I don’t see anything egregious that we should be too mad about. I think they got it right with Clemson over Michigan. Clemson 3-0 vs. top 25, Michigan 1-0. What do we think? Top 9 have a shot to get in unless there is chaos ( there’s always chaos).
What do we think? I don’t see anything egregious that we should be too mad about. I think they got it right with Clemson over Michigan. Clemson 3-0 vs. top 25, Michigan 1-0. What do we think? Top 9 have a shot to get in unless there is chaos ( there’s always chaos).
TCU probably got gipped the most. I think it was Golic Jr who tweeted that Michigan will pass Clemson even before tOSU game because Illinois will be a better opponent than anybody Clemson will play from here on out, which is strange but true in 2022. I think if any of the top 12 win out, they have a real shot. Below that, I think everyone is completely done, even if everything deteriorates into complete chaos, with 1 exception--a 1 loss Illinois would either have to beat Michigan twice or both Michigan and tOSU. A 2 loss SEC team so I don't think LSU and Ole Miss can be completely written off yet, and the Pac 12 is actually good enough that a 1 loss Pac 12 champ could make it in.
What do we think? I don’t see anything egregious that we should be too mad about. I think they got it right with Clemson over Michigan. Clemson 3-0 vs. top 25, Michigan 1-0. What do we think? Top 9 have a shot to get in unless there is chaos ( there’s always chaos).
TCU probably got gipped the most. I think it was Golic Jr who tweeted that Michigan will pass Clemson even before tOSU game because Illinois will be a better opponent than anybody Clemson will play from here on out, which is strange but true in 2022. I think if any of the top 12 win out, they have a real shot. Below that, I think everyone is completely done, even if everything deteriorates into complete chaos, with 1 exception--a 1 loss Illinois would either have to beat Michigan twice or both Michigan and tOSU. A 2 loss SEC team so I don't think LSU and Ole Miss can be completely written off yet, and the Pac 12 is actually good enough that a 1 loss Pac 12 champ could make it in.
You're right, it probably is top 12. I discounted LSU and Ole Miss because I don't see any way either of them win out, but if they do it would include wins over Bama and the Tenn/Ga. winner which gets them in. If everything holds it will probably be:
1) SEC Champ 2) OSU/Michigan winner as long as they don't stumble along the way or in the B1G championship 3) Undefeated Clemson 4) One loss Pac 12 champ or second SEC team
TCU probably got gipped the most. I think it was Golic Jr who tweeted that Michigan will pass Clemson even before tOSU game because Illinois will be a better opponent than anybody Clemson will play from here on out, which is strange but true in 2022. I think if any of the top 12 win out, they have a real shot. Below that, I think everyone is completely done, even if everything deteriorates into complete chaos, with 1 exception--a 1 loss Illinois would either have to beat Michigan twice or both Michigan and tOSU. A 2 loss SEC team so I don't think LSU and Ole Miss can be completely written off yet, and the Pac 12 is actually good enough that a 1 loss Pac 12 champ could make it in.
You're right, it probably is top 12. I discounted LSU and Ole Miss because I don't see any way either of them win out, but if they do it would include wins over Bama and the Tenn/Ga. winner which gets them in. If everything holds it will probably be:
1) SEC Champ 2) OSU/Michigan winner as long as they don't stumble along the way or in the B1G championship 3) Undefeated Clemson 4) One loss Pac 12 champ or second SEC team
TCU would get in there at 4 if they won out, which they could definitely do. I can never keep it straight anymore, does the Big 12 have a championship game or not?
They do have a title game, or at least they did last year. I remember OK St. stopped Baylor at the goal line last year to win it. Notre Dame need that and 2 other things to happen that day in order to sneak into the CFP. Alabama losing to Ga. was one of them and I think Iowa beating Michigan maybe. Those two did not happen.
I think the Big 12 makes it up as they go every year though. A couple of years there was no conference chip game. Then there was two division winners, then they scrapped that and made it the two teams ranked highest in the CFP polls. So who knows what they do this year.
That said: if K St. wins out, but USC also wins out (beats UCLA and Oregon in the Pac12 chip) and/or the Tenn./Ga. winner loses to Bama in the SEC championship for their only loss, I don't see K st. getting in over either of those two.
Yesterday was absolutely bonkers for the usual CFP suspects. Gotta think Clemson and most likely Alabama are out of the CFP discussion unless all hell breaks loose between now and selection Sunday. So glad Brian Kelly went for 2 in the OT. That's a ballsy ass move given the stakes. And Clemson got throttled by ND. Did NOT see that coming. But crazy to think Clemson and Bama are out of the CFP after the first weekend of November.
Right now it looks like UGA is the clear #1 with two better wins (Oregon and Tennessee) than the rest of the unbeatens. No point in debating who's #2 (Ohio State or Michigan) as they'll settle it on the field in a few weeks. If TCU wins out they're in as well. But I could absolutely see them losing to Texas in primetime next week.
Will be interesting to see who's #5 in this week's rankings. Gotta figure it's Tennessee but the shine's off that Bama win. LSU and Oregon can win out and stake their claim as well.
Also--what in the hell happened to Miami? They're most definitely not back (again).
Yesterday was absolutely bonkers for the usual CFP suspects. Gotta think Clemson and most likely Alabama are out of the CFP discussion unless all hell breaks loose between now and selection Sunday. So glad Brian Kelly went for 2 in the OT. That's a ballsy ass move given the stakes. And Clemson got throttled by ND. Did NOT see that coming. But crazy to think Clemson and Bama are out of the CFP after the first weekend of November.
Right now it looks like UGA is the clear #1 with two better wins (Oregon and Tennessee) than the rest of the unbeatens. No point in debating who's #2 (Ohio State or Michigan) as they'll settle it on the field in a few weeks. If TCU wins out they're in as well. But I could absolutely see them losing to Texas in primetime next week.
Will be interesting to see who's #5 in this week's rankings. Gotta figure it's Tennessee but the shine's off that Bama win. LSU and Oregon can win out and stake their claim as well.
Also--what in the hell happened to Miami? They're most definitely not back (again).
Someone pointed out in the first week playoff rankings that the committee seemed like they really didn't care about Week 1 at all, and at this point, they're looking pretty justified in doing so (Oregon getting smoked by Georgia, LSU losing in a ridiculous game to FSU). I assume Tennessee will still be #5, but such a strange game. The final score didn't wind up being that lopsided but Georgia just throttled them from beginning to end.
I am still worried about a 2 loss Bama jumping a 1 loss ACC or Big 12 champ, but I don't think they'd jump the OSU-Michigan loser if they both go in undefeated. It'd be tough because they'd have to jump LSU by 2 games since 1 of LSU's losses was non-conference, but I always assume they're going to lurk.
Georgia has to go to Miss State next week, which is a little tricky, and then to Kentucky, which can be too, before getting a freebie at home against GaTech. LSU has at Arkansas and at A&M sandwiched around a home game with UAB. Ole Miss hosts Bama, on the road against Arkansas, and then hosts the Egg Bowl. Tennessee's got the most cake schedule left of anyone, home against Mizzou, and then at South Carolina and Vandy.
Yesterday was absolutely bonkers for the usual CFP suspects. Gotta think Clemson and most likely Alabama are out of the CFP discussion unless all hell breaks loose between now and selection Sunday. So glad Brian Kelly went for 2 in the OT. That's a ballsy ass move given the stakes. And Clemson got throttled by ND. Did NOT see that coming. But crazy to think Clemson and Bama are out of the CFP after the first weekend of November.
Right now it looks like UGA is the clear #1 with two better wins (Oregon and Tennessee) than the rest of the unbeatens. No point in debating who's #2 (Ohio State or Michigan) as they'll settle it on the field in a few weeks. If TCU wins out they're in as well. But I could absolutely see them losing to Texas in primetime next week.
Will be interesting to see who's #5 in this week's rankings. Gotta figure it's Tennessee but the shine's off that Bama win. LSU and Oregon can win out and stake their claim as well.
Also--what in the hell happened to Miami? They're most definitely not back (again).
Someone pointed out in the first week playoff rankings that the committee seemed like they really didn't care about Week 1 at all, and at this point, they're looking pretty justified in doing so (Oregon getting smoked by Georgia, LSU losing in a ridiculous game to FSU). I assume Tennessee will still be #5, but such a strange game. The final score didn't wind up being that lopsided but Georgia just throttled them from beginning to end.
I am still worried about a 2 loss Bama jumping a 1 loss ACC or Big 12 champ, but I don't think they'd jump the OSU-Michigan loser if they both go in undefeated. It'd be tough because they'd have to jump LSU by 2 games since 1 of LSU's losses was non-conference, but I always assume they're going to lurk.
Georgia has to go to Miss State next week, which is a little tricky, and then to Kentucky, which can be too, before getting a freebie at home against GaTech. LSU has at Arkansas and at A&M sandwiched around a home game with UAB. Ole Miss hosts Bama, on the road against Arkansas, and then hosts the Egg Bowl. Tennessee's got the most cake schedule left of anyone, home against Mizzou, and then at South Carolina and Vandy.
Oregon is looking much better and if anything Georgia's domination of Tennessee makes Oregon's loss to Georgia look a little better (if that's possible). If Oregon wins out they're most likely going to be the last team into the CFP. They have Washington, Utah, and the Civil War and if they win those they're in the Pac-12 championship against most likely UCLA or USC. That's a pretty good run of wins if they win out.
TCU wins out and they're in. One loss and they're probably out given they struggled with game control in recent wins. Beating Texas this week will give them a huge bump.
I think if Georgia runs the table and at least gets to the SEC Chip game they're in the CFP even if they somehow lose in the SEC Chip. Their two best wins (Oregon and Tennessee) are so much better than everyone else's resume if both those teams win out.
OSU/Michigan are in if either wins out. Duh.
I don't see how Bama gets back into the CFP unless they win out and beat Georgia in the SEC Chip (and the teams above them in the West lose like you mentioned--highly unlikely). They're done unless we get to 2007 level chaos the next few weeks.
The ACC champ has a tough hill to climb at this point. UNC winning out would present an interesting candidate. They have Wake, Georgia Tech, NC State, and most likely Clemson in the ACC Chip. They likely lose at least one maybe two of those games as their defense is average at best. But Drake Maye is really good.
Tennessee wins out and they're in if TCU loses and the OSU/Michigan game is a blowout. If that game is close you might see both of them make the CFP over a Tennessee team that got dominated by Georgia.
So we're probably looking at a playoff of Georgia, OSU/Michigan, TCU, and Oregon if everyone wins out. If either TCU or Oregon lose then Tennessee slips in. If TCU and Oregon lose then Tennessee is in and a whole host of teams have a claim to that 4th spot.
